Validated statistics / climate outlook
Annual climate outlooks through 2070 using simple statistical models selected by rolling one-year hindcast accuracy. The band shows a 95% one-year prediction interval, not a guarantee of a future climate state.
This is a statistical climate extrapolation from the trusted 1980-present full-year station record, validated by rolling one-year hindcast checks. It is not a deterministic weather forecast or CMIP downscaling.